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Tag Archives: Polls
Presidential Polls and Prediction Markets
Great piece by PBS NewsHour on divining the polls and predicting the next POTUS. Ray Fair’s economic model is fascinating. BTW, Romney’s probability of becoming the next POTUS has doubled in the past few weeks at Intrade. The VEEP debate … Continue reading
August Presidential Polls vs. Final Vote Count
It’s August and time to start thinking about the Presidential election though nothing really matters until after Labor Day, in our opinion, especially in a race that is so tight. The latest Gallup tracking poll of registered voters has the … Continue reading
Posted in Politics
Tagged Gallup Tracking, Governor Romney, Polls, President Obama, Presidential Election
1 Comment
Romney’s Odds Ramp on Deteriorating Employment Data
Check out the trading at Intrade right around the employment data released this morning. The odds of Romney winning the November election ramped about 3 percentage points right after the jobs number was released. Rahm Emmanuel in an interview with … Continue reading
