Search Results for: The Gathering Storm 2.0

The Gathering Storm In The Treasury Market 2.0

Posted on September 24, 2018 by macromon

Here it is, folks,  the final product. It is a beast.  One famous blogger said of it, “This post is so big, you can see it from space.” We hope you take the time to give it a thorough read.  … Continue reading →

Posted in Bonds, Emerging Markets, Fiscal Policy, Inflation/Deflation, Interest Rates, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , | 43 Comments

Enter The Selling Zone 2.0

Posted on October 25, 2019 by macromon

It’s that time again. No, not the now annual October fires in California (helluva a Chinese hoax, btw) we’re running from but the S&P moving into the selling zone. We are reposting a piece we published on the very day … Continue reading →

Posted in Equity, Uncategorized | 18 Comments

Enter The Selling Zone 2.0

Posted on July 26, 2019 by macromon

It’s that time again. No, not the, now annual October fires in California (helluva a Chinese hoax, btw) we’re running from but the S&P moving into the selling zone. We are reposting a piece we published on the very day … Continue reading →

Posted in Equity, Uncategorized | 16 Comments

It’s Always About The Treasury Flows

Posted on December 17, 2019 by macromon

We have looked at the central bank holdings — both the Fed and foreign central banks — of marketable Treasury bills, notes, and bonds over the past twenty years and were quite surprised by our findings.   Our analysis may also … Continue reading →

Posted in Bonds, China, Interest Rates, Japan, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , | 1 Comment

Turmoil In The Money Markets & Financing Burgeoning Budget Deficits

Posted on September 26, 2019 by macromon

Sit up and listen, folks.  We may be in the midst of a Black Swan event. Nobody knows for certain what is creating the turmoil in the repo and money markets but we suspect much of it has to do … Continue reading →

Posted in Bonds, Uncategorized | Tagged , | 3 Comments

Newton’s Q1 Law Of Motion For The S&P500

Posted on March 31, 2019 by macromon

Newton’s three laws of motion may be stated as follows: Every object in a state of uniform motion will remain in that state of motion unless an external force acts on it. Force equals mass times acceleration. For every action, there is an equal and … Continue reading →

Posted in Equities, Equity, Uncategorized | Tagged , | 2 Comments

“Crowding Out” Caused The Q4 Stock Swoon

Posted on February 26, 2019 by macromon

In what we consider one of our best and most timely all-time posts, The Gathering Storm In The Treasury Market 2.0, a must-read tome on the structural changes taking place in the U.S. Treasury market, we warned at the end of last … Continue reading →

Posted in Bonds, Uncategorized | Tagged , | 8 Comments

2019’s Five Most Mispriced Tail Events

Posted on January 6, 2019 by macromon

  Trump Leaves Office By Year-End There is only one thing Trump likes more than power – money.  As his legal troubles grow exponentially in 2019, the president has an epiphany that he could lose all his wealth.  He cuts … Continue reading →

Posted in Tail Risk, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , | 15 Comments

Diagnosing What Ails The Market

Posted on December 17, 2018 by macromon

My father-in-law died of rectal melanoma, a disease so rare his doctors didn’t even know it existed.  He was diagnosed with having a rectal fissure.   He lived with some discomfort until I called him one night.  Slurring his words, he … Continue reading →

Posted in Budget Deficit, Fiscal Policy, Uncategorized | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Mr. Market’s Biggest Headwind

Posted on November 12, 2018 by macromon

At the end of September, we posted our analysis of the structural changes taking place in the Treasury market,  The Gathering Storm In The Treasury Market 2.0,  which was very well received and still getting thousands of hits per week. Crowding Out Our … Continue reading →

Posted in Budget Deficit, Capital Flows, Interest Rates, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , | 20 Comments