Author Archives: macromon

US Sector ETF Performance – May 19

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Global Risk Monitor – May 19

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How Presidential Scandal Endangers Global Stability

In our latest post, Beware Shorting Impeachments,  we noted: Bad things tend to happen in the world when the U.S. administration is distracted and looks weakened by political scandal.  And, believe us, there is a legion of bad things out there … Continue reading

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Beware Shorting Impeachments

We’ve analyzed the behavior of the S&P500 during the Watergate impeachment hearings and the Clinton impeachment.  If you’re shorting risk markets solely based on speculation that President Trump may be impeached, maybe you should think again. Let’s first look at … Continue reading

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Orwellian Monetary Policy

“Tightening is Easing” Since U.S. monetary policy began tightening in December 2015, the Fed has added liquidity to the financial system through interest payments to banks on excess reserves and has reduced its surplus to the Treasury adding to the … Continue reading

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COTD: U.S. Population By County Size

Wow!  More than half of the U.S. population lives in only 144 counties or just about 4.5 percent of the total number of counties throughout the United States. Keep that context when you see one of these political maps.

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US Sector ETF Performance – May 12

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Global Risk Monitor – May 12

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Now We Worry

The way, the why, the timing of the firing of FBI Director,  James Comey, baffles us.   No partisanship here,  however. But now we worry.   We wrote in February, When we held positions overnight on Wall Street, we used to … Continue reading

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Fed Ownership of Yield Curve and Balance Sheet Reduction

Here you have it, folks, a one stop chart. The chart below shows the total outstandings of Treasury bonds and notes,  the Fed ownership of the total maturities and percentage of outstandings in each year of maturity (note, the data … Continue reading

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