Category Archives: Algos

World Cup Prediction: Spain or Germany?

The machine learning random forest algo predicts Spain is favored over Germany mainly due to the fact that Germany has a comparatively high chance to drop out in the round-of-sixteen. Combining the odds from many different bookmakers puts Brazil as the … Continue reading

Posted in AI, Algos, Automation, Uncategorized | Tagged , , | 15 Comments

The Tale Of Two Fat Tails

In a normal probability distribution…blue curve), the odds of risky outcomes (bad stuff happening) are thin at the extremes. In fat-tailed distributions, such outcomes have a greater chance of occurring (the [greenish] curve). Source Non-normal distributions can be heavily skewed and … Continue reading

Posted in Algos, Climate Change, Economics, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , | 42 Comments

The Cycle of Market Emojis

Love this.  Based on the cycle of market emotions. Wonder if there is an algo out there that trades on emojis?  Would not doubt it. Hat tip Kazonomics! Long Only Short Sellers

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Stock Bull & Bear Traps Galore

The S&P500 could not hold the 50-day moving average today, setting, yet again, a nice bull trap to hang out the MoMo crowd.  Seeing a lot more traps, both bull and bear,  these days.  It is the result of the … Continue reading

Posted in Algos, Apple, Equities, Technical Analysis, Uncategorized | Tagged , , | 27 Comments

How Good, or Bad, Will AI Get?

Even as the use of artificial intelligence has grown over the past decade, outsized predictions about it destroying humanity or creating utopia haven’t come to pass, at least not yet. Bloomberg QuickTake explains what AI does for us now and … Continue reading

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Robots Are Even Coming For The Fashion Models

This is astounding.  Not so much robots but artificial intelligence (AI), The world of fashion is always looking ahead to the future for the latest innovations and avant-garde ideas. However, models could be facing the prospect of being rendered useless … Continue reading

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Just Another Day At The Office

Wola-freakin’-tility! The Dow traded in a 1,022 point, or 4.3 percent, intraday range today.  That is emerging market volatility, folks. What a close to an ugly week and a bookend win to the week for the bulls. Classic double bottom … Continue reading

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Big Brother Alive And Well And Living In China (Must View)

This clip from the BBC is incredible and very disconcerting. We suspect this technology, and the use thereof, is not just limited to China but ubiquitous throughout Western countries.   Double yikes! China has been building what it calls “the … Continue reading

Posted in Algos, Automation, China, Technology, Uncategorized, Video | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

Coldplay And Chris Martin At Levi

Did Coldplay last night at Levi Stadium with a couple of borderline Millennials/iGenners.   Good kids.  Gives me hope for the future if they can find a way out of all the debt and public pension obligations we boomers have stuffed … Continue reading

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Buckled Up For Structured Criticality

We’re baaaccck!. We warned in our last post before leaving on holiday, “Look for some large sigma event, which is always the case when we are off the desk.”    How about a vol spike caused by worries over a … Continue reading

Posted in Algos, Equities, Uncategorized | Tagged , | 24 Comments