Category Archives: Currency

Dollar Index & Mexican Peso Dancing To The Same Tune

What tune is that?   The Trump slump. Even though the Euro makes up almost 58 percent of the dollar index,  the dollar is going down  for the very same reasons the Mexican peso is going up.   The poor start … Continue reading

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Mexican Peso Recovers All Of Its Trump Losses, Then Some

The Mexican peso,  after falling 18 percent against the dollar from the U.S. presidential election day to the day before the inauguration on January 19,  it has rallied almost 20 percent from its low, and is now up 15 percent … Continue reading

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2017 First Half Key Takeaways

Bonds  Big outperformance by local emerging markets and Euro periphery in first half.  Last week was pivotal as some bonds gave back almost entire year due to ECB hawkishness.  Watch this space.  More big moves here will determine asset trading … Continue reading

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Talking ’bout Mexico – JT

So King David at thinkinthemorning.com sends over an article showing U.S. stocks with revenue exposure to Mexico.   Starts us thinking about who is smarter,  equity traders or currency traders,  who follows who,  or who is fooled by randomness? . … Continue reading

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Almost All World’s Currencies Undervalued

We’ve put together a couple of tables showing the undervaluation of the world’s currencies based on their 2016 purchasing power parity against the U.S. dollar. The Purchasing-power-parity (PPP) between two countries is the rate at which the currency of one … Continue reading

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How Are Those “Crowded Trades” Doing?

We take a look here at what BofA/Merrill Lynch has surveyed as the “most crowded trades” in the market.  Most are taking on water as the crowd is leaning to the same side of the boat. Big losses for Japanese … Continue reading

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Cheap Big Macs Around the World

Turkey, the UK , and Mexico (“undervalued by a whacking 55.9% against the greenback”) have gotten much cheaper over the past year. The Big Mac index is built on the idea of purchasing-power parity, the theory that in the long … Continue reading

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Looser policy but a stronger euro – FT

The European Central Bank has sent bond yields tumbling through its attempts to stimulate the eurozone economy. Dan McCrum explains why, compared with the US, policy is not as loose as it may seem, and how the euro could strengthen … Continue reading

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Brexit and the euro | Short View – FT

Roger Blitz looks at how the timing of the UK’s EU referendum risks hurting the euro and the EU. For more video content from the Financial Times, visit http://www.FT.com/video (click here if video is not observable)

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Crucial week for currencies – FT

The dollar’s strength is the foremost factor in currency markets, with the Fed expected to be the first major central bank to raise rates. The FT’s Roger Blitz and Ralph Atkins discuss the impact of this week’s data and two … Continue reading

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