Category Archives: Currency

Hammer Drops On EM FX

It’s getting tighter out there, folks. Emerging currencies are down almost 6.5% against the USD on average since February. pic.twitter.com/5TTNQgIgeE — jeroen blokland (@jsblokland) May 8, 2018 Advertisements

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Q1 in Review

Q1: Lake Placid To The Mavericks The markets closed out the quarter trying to recover from one of the biggest volatility shocks in history, which began in early February.   The question for Q2 is:  Was the v-shock a one-off or a … Continue reading

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Watch These Spaces

It seems like an eternity since our January 28th Sunday night post, Watch This Space. The S&P500 had closed at the high of the day on Friday and also what was the high of 2018. We warned to watch the … Continue reading

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Start Of A Mean “Mean Reversion” In Stock Values?

Asset valuations, including stock prices, eventually revert to their long-term mean (average) valuation or at least attempt to if not interrupted by outside intervention, such as central banks.    It has been the major factor in the steep sell-off in … Continue reading

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Making The World Great Again

Maybe President Trump should not read this but last year was all about “Making The World Great Again.” Financial Markets As the data and graphs illustrate below, the U.S. stock market was in the bottom quintile of performance in dollar … Continue reading

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The Year In Review

An incredible year in the markets. Here’s a quick snapshot: Fixed-income – The high yielders significantly outperformed; – Greece 10-year yield down 300 bps in 2017; – China 10-year moved 85 bps higher to around 4 percent; – The U.S. … Continue reading

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Week in Review – August 18

Stock Indices Argentina stocks up big after the ruling coalition did better than expected in primary legislative elections last Sunday.  Emerging markets generally better bid than DMs.   Europe traded better as it looks the mighty Euro is taking a rest … Continue reading

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Dollar Index & Mexican Peso Dancing To The Same Tune

What tune is that?   The Trump slump. Even though the Euro makes up almost 58 percent of the dollar index,  the dollar is going down  for the very same reasons the Mexican peso is going up.   The poor start … Continue reading

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Mexican Peso Recovers All Of Its Trump Losses, Then Some

The Mexican peso,  after falling 18 percent against the dollar from the U.S. presidential election day to the day before the inauguration on January 19,  it has rallied almost 20 percent from its low, and is now up 15 percent … Continue reading

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2017 First Half Key Takeaways

Bonds  Big outperformance by local emerging markets and Euro periphery in first half.  Last week was pivotal as some bonds gave back almost entire year due to ECB hawkishness.  Watch this space.  More big moves here will determine asset trading … Continue reading

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