Category Archives: Eurozone Sovereign Spreads

French Oat-German Bund 10-year Spread

To assess Ms Le Pen’s chance of victory, The Economist has compiled current and historic French presidential polls, and used them to build a statistical prediction model. We find that if the first round were held today, Ms Le Pen … Continue reading

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French Oat-German Bund 10-year Spread

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European bonds suffer from uncertainty – FT

Keep some powder dry to buy the French Dip.    That is,  the market panic over the  Euro elections,  if there is one. The French will hold the populist “Maginot Line” and Le Pen will lose in the second round, “bigly“.  … Continue reading

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Tremors in the Eurozone (Again)

The France OAT-German Bund 10-year blew out another 12 bps today.  This is off our charts going back to December 2012.   The FT reports, “Markets underpriced the political risks in 2016 and they are determined not to do the … Continue reading

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French Oat-German Bund 10-year Spread

Starting to get interesting.   The French 10-year Oat- German 10-year bund spread widened and closed at its highest level since January 2014 on Friday.  Francois Fillon has dropped like a stone in the past few weeks as the political scandal … Continue reading

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Watch This Space: Oat-Bund Spread

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Italian PM to quit after voters reject his constitutional reforms – EuroNews

Published on Dec 4, 2016 Italian Prime Minister Matteo Renzi is to resign following a heavy defeat in Sunday’s constitutional reform referendum. Although ostensibly on plans to streamline parliament the poll was largely seen as a confidence vote in the … Continue reading

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Week Ahead — Brexit outlook, Nike results – FT

Fallout from Brexit, results for athletic clothing maker Nike and voting for Australia’s national election. Seb Morton-Clark takes a look at some of the top stories for the coming week. ► Subscribe to the Financial Times on YouTube: http://bit.ly/FTimeSubs (click … Continue reading

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Greek crisis in 90 seconds – FT

The FT’s Martin Sandbu explains why Greece is facing the spectre of default and what happens if a deal is not reached. For more video content from the Financial Times, visit http://www.FT.com/video (click here if video is not observable)

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Greece’s Debt Dilemma Explained in 90 Seconds – FT

May 12 — Greece faces a long list of deadlines and a big one is today. The country owes the International Monetary Fund roughly $880 million. Spain’s finance minister has said “Greece’s liquidity situation is getting increasingly complicated.” Bloomberg’s David … Continue reading

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