Category Archives: France

French Oat-German Bund 10-year Spread

The Oat-Bund spread came in 8 bps last week probably on the back of a new poll showing the centrist. Emmanuel Macron, gaining ground. Macron is opening it up in second round polling, 30 points ahead of Le Pen,  but … Continue reading

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French Oat-German Bund 10-year Spread

But our sense is and what we are seeing in the European street is that these countries are repelled and more willing to run away from Trump rather than attracted to and running to him. –  Global Macro Monitor,  February … Continue reading

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French Oat-German Bund 10-year Spread

The 10-year France-German bond spread widened a couple basis points this past week, probably due to a general repricing in sovereign bonds in the euro zone on the back of Mario Draghi’s perceived hawkish statements at the ECB meeting on … Continue reading

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French Oat-German Bund 10-year Spread

Notice on the chart the Oat-Bund spread coming in 25 bps in past week.  We are buyers of a French dip.  See here and here. An apparent threat by far-right leader Marine le Pen to punish state employees who “persecute” … Continue reading

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Les misérables: French people are the most pessimistic on Earth

Though we are buying the French Dip, that is the sell-off over worries of a Le Pen presidency in France,  the latest poll cited by today’s Economist does make us a little nervous.  We saw in November how unpredictable an … Continue reading

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Trump & Le Pen compared in 90 seconds – FT

Gideon Rachman, the FT’s chief foreign affairs commentator, compares the movements behind US president Donald Trump and French presidential candidate Marine Le Pen – in 90 seconds. ► Subscribe to the Financial Times on YouTube: http://bit.ly/FTimeSubs  

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French Oat-German Bund 10-year Spread

Starting to get interesting.   The French 10-year Oat- German 10-year bund spread widened and closed at its highest level since January 2014 on Friday.  Francois Fillon has dropped like a stone in the past few weeks as the political scandal … Continue reading

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French Oat-German Bund 10-year Spread

Stabilizing at around 50 bps. Who will be elected president of France in 2017? https://t.co/NZvm7HNJXe via @PredictIt_ — Gregor Samsa (@macromon) January 22, 2017

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France’s Problems – FT

Michael Stothard, Paris correspondent, talks to French finance minister Michel Sapin about the problems facing the country, the strong euro and what the government’s reforms — the so-called responsibility pact — hope to achieve. For more video content from the … Continue reading

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Hollande’s tricky balancing act – FT

The FT’s Paris bureau chief Hugh Carnegy assesses what the Cabinet reshuffle by French president Francois Hollande – after disastrous elections for the Socialists – means for the economy and business. For more video content from the Financial Times, visit … Continue reading

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