Category Archives: Geopolitical

The Upheaval in Central America – Project Syndicate

The macro swans continue (swans = crows in this video) to gather. Social and political upheaval in Central America – in particular, Guatemala, Honduras, and Nicaragua – is sending many north in search of a better life. The region’s current … Continue reading

Posted in Geopolitical, Politics, Uncategorized | Tagged , , | 34 Comments

Prepare For Much Higher Long-Term Rates

There has been a huge drain of liquidity from the U.S. Treasury market over the past few years, and may signal a structural change to how the United States finances budget deficits. The government will always find a way to … Continue reading

Posted in Bonds, Charts, China, Credit, Geopolitical, Interest Rates, Sovereign Debt, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , | 36 Comments

Trump Says Unified Korea Could Happen

Do you think President Trump has consulted with President Xi about a unified Korea? It is highly doubtful China will allow a unified Korea, one under Western influence. Different Scenarios Our best case scenario is the South and North move … Continue reading

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This Is NOT The Reagan Stock Market

Facts do not matter anymore.  Opinions are now facts.  We truly live in dangerous times. Reagan And Trump Stock Market We were stunned by an article posted on the CNBC website over the weekend, The Trump stock market looks a … Continue reading

Posted in Equities, Geopolitical, Uncategorized | Tagged , , | 11 Comments

Are we heading for a third world war?- BBC News

We asked foreign policy experts around the world whether we are heading for a third world war. Producer Tobias Chapple Please subscribe HERE http://bit.ly/1rbfUog

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Ex-CIA analyst on risks of Trump-Kim talks – FT

Sounds like the issue is to overcome what appears to be irreconcilable expectations. Former CIA analyst Sue Mi Terry says the biggest risk of the upcoming summit between US President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un are … Continue reading

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Tweet of the Day: Russian Sanctions

Russia's RTS index in USD fell 11.4% today. https://t.co/dPvacU0N7k — Anders Åslund (@anders_aslund) April 9, 2018 Word from a businessman in Moscow today: "the sanctions have hit home to say the least. There is a sense of confused panic here. … Continue reading

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Potemkin Trade Deals

What a farce. Why not just negotiate an increase in Korean imports of American flying cars and call it a victory?  Nothing here.  Move on. South Korea, meanwhile, negotiated a permanent steel-tariff exemption in exchange for allowing additional U.S. auto … Continue reading

Posted in Economics, Geopolitical, Uncategorized | Tagged , , | 16 Comments

Unmoored & Rudderless Stock Market

Didn’t today’s market feel like a rudderless sailboat ripped from its mooring and blown about by random gusts of wind (algos)?   We count the Dow crossed the unchanged line at least thirty times today. The generals have have been taken … Continue reading

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“Many Chinese Would Like To Teach [Trump] A Lesson”

Yikes!  Nasty rhetoric from a newspaper under the auspices of the People’s Daily. Me thinks Trump & Co.  are going to be played by Xi & Co. like a Chinese fiddle. China already perceives the Trump Administration as a Paper Tiger. … Continue reading

Posted in China, Geopolitical, Uncategorized | Tagged , , | 12 Comments