Category Archives: Gold

Watching Gold

Gold is looking interesting. Fundamentally, it shouldn’t as the Fed is tightening the screws on liquidity, the ECB is ready to stop the printing press, and international reserves continue to decline. Check out the chart.  Higher lows since August,  a … Continue reading

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Why Gold Is Such A Dog

Summary Gold prices have been in a bear market since the August 2011 peak at $1920 Prices are making new 52-week lows Gold has primarily been a monetary asset throughout history and moves closely with the global monetary base (GMB), … Continue reading

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The Gold-Bond Correlation And Other Macro Observations

We have posted several pieces over this year noting the high correlation of gold and 10-year bond futures. See here, here and here. Here is how the gold ETF (GLD) and the Treasury ETF (TLT) have moved together over various … Continue reading

Posted in Bonds, Gold, Monetary Policy, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , | 10 Comments

TOTD: Today’s Rare Market Feat

This would be the 4th time in 20 years that stocks, bonds and gold all up by > 0.25% on the Fed Chair’s semi-annual testimony.  – Sentimen Trader (TOTD = Table of the Day)

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The Bond Gold Correlation

We have written quite a bit about the dynamics driving the gold market.  See here and here. As the short covering rally in the bond appears over and the Fed ramps up for more rate hikes, global PMIs and inflation … Continue reading

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Is This Why Gold and Bonds Sold Off?

Truly a mug’s game to try and retrofit fundamentals to short-term market moves, but ain’t gonna stop us! We’ve noted the comovement of the U.S. 10-year T-Note with gold over the past few months, driven, we believe, mainly by geopolitical … Continue reading

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Gold Still Tracking Bonds

We posted last week the correlation of the bond and gold.  Some argue gold has been rallying as a hedge against inflation or inversely with the dollar.   Don’t think so and not yet on the inflation hedge. Gold is moody … Continue reading

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What’s Behind the Gold Rally?

Short covering in the bond market. Don’t believe it?  Check out the chart below. Gold is up 7.7 percent since the December 15 low the same day the 10-year Treasury yield peaked at 2.60 percent. Why are Treasuries rallying?   … Continue reading

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Watch Those Gold Miners (GDX)

The gold miners index (GDX) gapped down another 4 1/2 percent today even after yesterday’s 5 percent down day.  Gold, the Feb futures contract, closed down about another $15 lower from the 5 pm electronic futures market close in New … Continue reading

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Is Gold Finished?

Big drop in gold today after the FOMC announcement.   Let’s go to the charts. The yellow metal is approaching a 5-year low at around $1,050 (actually $1,046.25), which it hit right around this time last year.   Tough to see a … Continue reading

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