Category Archives: Interest Rates

Nominal GDP At 4 Percent, Fed Way Behind Curve

The BEA revised Q2 GDP up this morning, Current-dollar GDP increased 4.0 percent, or $189.0 billion, in the second quarter to a level of $19,246.7  billion. In the first quarter, current-dollar GDP increased 3.3 percent, or $152.2 billion.  –  BEA … Continue reading

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Debate Within The FOMC: Bubblistas v. Efficient Marketistas?

We have finally made the time to more closely review the release of last week’s Fed minutes from the July 25-26 meeting.   We kind of like what we see. Debate Breaking Out Among FOMC Members? A debate appears to breaking … Continue reading

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Gary Cohn As Next Fed Chairman?

Politico out with a piece tonight citing souces that National Economic Council Director and Goldman alum, Gary Cohn, is the leading contender to replace Janet Yellen next January.    Interesting timing as it comes on the eve of Janet Yellen’s two-day … Continue reading

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Orwellian Monetary Policy

“Tightening is Easing” Since U.S. monetary policy began tightening in December 2015, the Fed has added liquidity to the financial system through interest payments to banks on excess reserves and has reduced its surplus to the Treasury adding to the … Continue reading

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LIBOR Over 1 Percent, First Time In 7 years

The times they are a changin [incrementally]’. The Wall Street Journal reports, But on Wednesday it was set at 1.00511%, topping that key threshold for the first time in more than seven years, as investors brace for more Federal Reserve rate … Continue reading

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Expectations of Fed rate rise drop – FT

US payroll numbers suggested that the unemployment rate tick up slightly from 4.9 to 5.0 per cent, while payrolls gained only 160,000 in April, the lowest in seven months. John Authers explains the implications on a possible Fed rate rise. … Continue reading

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The 2013 Global Interest Rate Spike

Nice chart illustrating the year-to-date increase in global interest rates (10-year local currency government bond yields) .  Not surprising the emerging markets lead the global rate spike.  Also note, Italy, Spain and Greece are more credit instruments rather than sovereign … Continue reading

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Daily Interest Rate Monitor – May 7

(click here if table is not observable)

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Daily Interest Rate Monitor – May 6

(click here if table is not observable)

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