Category Archives: Monetary Policy

FOMC: Hardly Tight, Hardly Loco

The data speaks for itself. Real Effective Fed Funds Rate (REFFR) The real effective Fed Funds rate (REFFR), the Federal Reserve’s target rate of overnight commercial bank reserves lending rate less the CPI year-on-year change,  remains negative for the 36th … Continue reading

Posted in Fed, Interest Rates, Monetary Policy, Uncategorized | Tagged , , | 7 Comments

QOTD: Slouching Toward A Banana Republic

Could it be the markets are instead revolting against President Trump’s fiscal profligacy, and beginning to price in a potential debt crisis/major interest rate spike?   Just askin’. “I think the Fed is making a mistake. They are so tight. I … Continue reading

Posted in Equities, Fed, Interest Rates, Monetary Policy, Uncategorized | Tagged , | 3 Comments

Consequences Of Jack Asset Monetary Policy

You have to own assets to make it in the New Economy.   Pity the younger generations. Check out the growing wealth disparity in the below chart, which is clearly the result of monetary policy. The Fed’s increasing reliance  on the … Continue reading

Posted in Economics, Monetary Policy, Uncategorized | Tagged , | 38 Comments

Charts That Count: QE QED

Since the collapse of Lehman Brothers the story of the world’s attempts to stop the financial crisis turning into a Great Depression has been dominated by central banks’ balance sheets. John Authers describes how this averted total disaster and sparked … Continue reading

Posted in Economics, Interest Rates, Monetary Policy, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Feels Like 1997

Just back home after a week-long road trip to many major U.S. cities. The “Cranes Of Dubai”  As an economist, I am always looking for anecdotal evidence of how the local economy is doing.  What impressed me most was the … Continue reading

Posted in Credit, Monetary Policy, Uncategorized | Tagged , | 17 Comments

ECB to end stimulus programme later this year

ECB President Mario Draghi admitted the eurozone recovery has slowed and kept record low interest rates unchanged… READ MORE : http://www.euronews.com/2018/06/14/ec…

Posted in ECB, Monetary Policy, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

The Bund With A Draghi Tattoo

The consequences for global markets of an end to ECB QE will be much bigger than those associated with the end of the Fed’s QE –  Guillermo Tolosa, Oxford Economics Huge ECB meeting on Thursday.   Will Mario Draghi announce a path to normalize monetary … Continue reading

Posted in Bonds, ECB, German Bund, Germany, Monetary Policy, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

QE And The Laurel vs. Yanny Distortion

Interesting clip from Wired,  interviewing  a neuroscientist explaining how people get the sound Laurel and Yanny name so different. The interview is profound if you take the principles and apply them to the markets.  It’s all about reading the correct … Continue reading

Posted in Interest Rates, Monetary Policy, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , | 14 Comments

EM – The Indicator Species Of Tighter Global Money?

Interesting discussion on EM last week on Bloomberg TV. See our comment yesterday on EM as one of the indicators species of tight global monetary policy.

Posted in Economics, Monetary Policy, Uncategorized | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

QOTD: Fed Chair Jay Powell

  I do not dismiss the prospective risks emanating from global policy normalization. Some investors and institutions may not be well positioned for a rise in interest rates, even one that markets broadly anticipate. And, of course, future economic conditions … Continue reading

Posted in Interest Rates, Monetary Policy, Uncategorized | Tagged , , | Leave a comment