Category Archives: Monetary Policy

Inflation With A Draghi Tatoo?

Draghi: QE is part of our toolbox and can be considered to be useable by the Governing Council in contingencies. We’ve always considered this and it has now been sanctioned by the ECJ — European Central Bank (@ecb) December 13, … Continue reading

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Time To Tune Out Market Pundits

Fugly day in the stock market. We had to post a response to the market punditry rationalization on why stocks accelerated downward today: “the S&P500 broke its 200-day moving average.“ Are you fricking kidding me? The S&P500 has been under … Continue reading

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The S&P Levels You Need To Know

Interesting double-top, double bottom W forming in the S&P500.   In honor of George H.W. and George W.?  Hmmm…… The futures were rejected right at key resistance in overnight trading, making a high at 2814.0 during in early morning pre-trading and … Continue reading

Posted in China, Equities, Interest Rates, Monetary Policy, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , | 17 Comments

Mr. Market Goes Full Powell-Wow Over Fed Chair’s Cave

He caved.  At least in rhetoric. Interest rates are still low by historical standards, and they remain just below the broad range of estimates of the level that would be neutral for the economy‑‑that is, neither speeding up nor slowing … Continue reading

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The Lessons of Quantitative Easing | Stephen Roach

A decade after the US Federal Reserve launched one of the boldest policy experiments in the modern history of central banking, economists and policymakers are still debating its implications. To prepare for future crises, five key lessons should be kept … Continue reading

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FOMC: Hardly Tight, Hardly Loco

The data speaks for itself. Real Effective Fed Funds Rate (REFFR) The real effective Fed Funds rate (REFFR), the Federal Reserve’s target rate of overnight commercial bank reserves lending rate less the CPI year-on-year change,  remains negative for the 36th … Continue reading

Posted in Fed, Interest Rates, Monetary Policy, Uncategorized | Tagged , , | 8 Comments

QOTD: Slouching Toward A Banana Republic

Could it be the markets are instead revolting against President Trump’s fiscal profligacy, and beginning to price in a potential debt crisis/major interest rate spike?   Just askin’. “I think the Fed is making a mistake. They are so tight. I … Continue reading

Posted in Equities, Fed, Interest Rates, Monetary Policy, Uncategorized | Tagged , | 3 Comments

Consequences Of Jack Asset Monetary Policy

You have to own assets to make it in the New Economy.   Pity the younger generations. Check out the growing wealth disparity in the below chart, which is clearly the result of monetary policy. The Fed’s increasing reliance  on the … Continue reading

Posted in Economics, Monetary Policy, Uncategorized | Tagged , | 38 Comments

Charts That Count: QE QED

Since the collapse of Lehman Brothers the story of the world’s attempts to stop the financial crisis turning into a Great Depression has been dominated by central banks’ balance sheets. John Authers describes how this averted total disaster and sparked … Continue reading

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Feels Like 1997

Just back home after a week-long road trip to many major U.S. cities. The “Cranes Of Dubai”  As an economist, I am always looking for anecdotal evidence of how the local economy is doing.  What impressed me most was the … Continue reading

Posted in Credit, Monetary Policy, Uncategorized | Tagged , | 17 Comments