Category Archives: Politics

Mexico: Obrador holds 11-point lead

MEXICO CITY – Mexican leftist candidate Andrés Manuel López Obrador has a nearly 11 percentage point lead over his closest rival ahead of the July presidential election, a poll published by newspaper El Universal on Monday showed. López Obrador has capitalized on … Continue reading

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Send In The Neocons

Not a surprise, but still troubling.  Totally inconsistent with President Trump’s view on the Iraq War. I am pleased to announce that, effective 4/9/18, @AmbJohnBolton will be my new National Security Advisor. I am very thankful for the service of … Continue reading

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QOTD: Where Are They?

“There are no grown ups in the room.” – Chris Whipple,  March 17

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Why Mexicans support hard-left challenger Amlo – FT

General elections will be held in Mexico on 1 July 2018.  Voters will elect a new president by plurality in a single round of voting to serve a six-year term. What do Mexicans make of the frontrunner hard-left candidate in the July presidential election, Andrés Manuel López Obrador … Continue reading

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The Mother Of All Political Risk

This would definitely destabilize the “American Street.” This is RUMINT, but pretty credible RUMINT: Trump preparing to fire Sessions, name Pruitt Acting AG (which he can be since he already holds a Senate confirmed position), and Pruitt fires Mueller. And … Continue reading

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The Big Blue Wave Looms

Is that Conor Lamb on his Hobie?   By the way,  he will be one of only six millennials in the U.S. Congress.  Fresh. Results of Pennsylvania 18th Special Congressional Election  Not definitive yet and much, much tighter than we thought.  … Continue reading

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Watch This Space…

Today’s special congressional election in Pennsylvania’s 18th could move markets, and we doubt it is central to traders radars.  Trump won this district by over 20 percent in 2016. The Democrat, Conor Lamb,  has pulled ahead in the latest poll and owns … Continue reading

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10 Reasons Why The U.S. Can’t Be Nordic – NR

The debate begins and the right pushes back in this article.  We were out there first not with a normative argument but with positive analysis on what we see coming.  See here, here, here, and here. Ten Reasons We Can’t, and Shouldn’t, … Continue reading

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As We Were Saying…

…yesterday on politics driving the tariff  “proclamation.” It is All Politics Note, today’s announcement on tariffs was a proclamation, not even a legal document.   Only words, and we know, for certainty, with this president, words can mean whatever he wants … Continue reading

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Why ‘Deaths of Despair’ May Be a Warning Sign for America

I do worry about a world where the rich get to write the rules which the rest of us have to obey……We might be on the edge of a precipice. – Angus Deaton  Must view.  Confirms our view of a … Continue reading

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