Category Archives: Week in Review

Week In Review – April 20

Bond Yields, Bond Yields, and More Bond Yields  The U.S. 10-year closed at its highest yield on a weekly basis since year-end 2013. A weekly close above 3.03 percent signals big trouble ahead.   The confluence of fundamentals – i.e., inflationary … Continue reading

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Week In Review – April 13

   

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Week in Review – April 6

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Q1 in Review

Q1: Lake Placid To The Mavericks The markets closed out the quarter trying to recover from one of the biggest volatility shocks in history, which began in early February.   The question for Q2 is:  Was the v-shock a one-off or a … Continue reading

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Week In Review – March 23

Third Test Of Lows Comng The Dow and S&P500 are on their way to a third test of Feb. 9th lows.  The S&P bounced slightly off the 200-day into the close on Friday.  Maybe a little more to the bounce … Continue reading

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Week In Review – March 16

Equity markets are still struggling to get back to all-time highs as geopolitical and U.S. domestic political risk is on the rise and growth projections ratchet lower. Corporate spreads are blowing out again. The U.S. 10-year yield is very sticky, … Continue reading

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Week In Review – February 23

Bonds Are The Dog Wagging The Equity Tail A relatively quiet week on a close-to-close basis as not much movement because of no move in the bond.  The bond-stock correlation is extremely high.   The bond and S&P500 have moved in … Continue reading

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Week In Review – February 16

Nice bounce. The S&P500 is up 7.88 percent off the low and has recovered 58.65 percent of its loss.  It looks like the pivot is the .618 Fibonacci retracement level, which it traded through but could not hold as the … Continue reading

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Week In Review: JP And The JFK-Trump S&P500 Analog

Not a lot of poetry or prose again this week. We posted much material on our thoughts over the last few days. Have a look. Also review the data tables below. We do think markets are in for a bounce … Continue reading

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Week In Review – January 26

Summary The wealth effect – boosting consumption out of what is perceived as permanent wealth -seems to be kicking in.   Consumers are feeling flush with the humungo gains in stocks and housing over the past few years.  It also … Continue reading

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