Tag Archives: Bond Yields

Swan Lake – June 11

We are not discussing any proposal to exit the euro. The government is determined to avoid the materialisation of market conditions that push us towards an exit in any way.  –  Giovanni Tria,  Italian finance minister, June 11 Italian and Euro … Continue reading

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Swan Lake – June 4

The recovery in the European periphery continues. Sell-offs when markets are in bullish mode now seem to act as an centripetal force to move financial assets back to their central point of bullish with great velocity.  Similar to a gravity … Continue reading

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Long-Term Yields Break Higher

The 10-year Treasury yield broke out and closed above a new 5-year high today. If you didn’t catch our analysis from a few weeks back why long-term interest rates were set to move higher, run don’t walk to,  Prepare For Much … Continue reading

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Dimon Says Prepare for 4% Yields – Bloomberg

Wow!  It sounds like Jamie read our recent post,  Prepare For Much Higher Long-Term Rates.   Nah, we are just on the same page. He speculates the yield curve will not invert as it did in the last tightening cycle; long-term … Continue reading

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Still No Relief From The Bond Market

Last week the S&P500 sold down 5.95 percent. We noted in an earlier post, Why This Correction Is Different, in that the current sell-off is different from all other corrections over the past 30 years (except a special case in … Continue reading

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Watch These Levels

Is that it?  Is the sell-off over, new highs on the short-tem horizon? Nobody knows.  The recovery is a process and unfolds one step tick at a time. In our last Week In Review post, we noted, Only three times … Continue reading

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Interest Rates Starting To Bite

We have long held that interest rates have been so low (especially real rates) that it will take some time to reach a level for them to really matter and impact markets. The 2-year yield crossing over the S&P500 divie … Continue reading

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Bond Yields and Equity Prices

Interesting chart which reflects what we have been preaching for years. Central bank distorted and repressed bond yields result in a mispricing of all other assets. This chart goes a step further and quantifies it, though it assumes “all other … Continue reading

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The Bonds With A Draghi Tattoo

On Tuesday,  June 27th,  Super Mario said this, “Deflationary forces have been replaced by reflationary ones.”  – Mario Draghi And here is how global 10-year bond yields reacted, The German 10-year Bund yield increased 77 percent — OK, from a … Continue reading

Posted in Bonds, Euro, Uncategorized | Tagged , , | 25 Comments

The Rack Trade

Ever have a pairs (spread) trade where both sides were moving against you?  Ouch!  Been there, don’t want to do that.   Well, this is what we call the rack trade  (Kudos to Doug Skrypek for coining the term).   You … Continue reading

Posted in Bonds, Crude Oil, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , | 6 Comments