Tag Archives: Monetary Policy

Cleveland Fed Dishes On Yield Curve Signal

Check out the latest from the Cleveland Fed president,  Loretta Mester: Mester advised that there is “no evidence” for thinking that a flatter curve signals a weaker economy at this time, Reuters reported. She added that “structural factors,” such as bond-buying by central … Continue reading

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FOMC Dot Plot & Other Data – March 21

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Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement – March 21

March 21, 2018 Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement For release at 2:00 p.m. EDT Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in January indicates that the labor market has continued to strengthen and that economic activity has been … Continue reading

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Policy Leanings Of Current FOMC

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Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress

February 27, 2018 Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress Chairman Jerome H. Powell Before the Committee on Financial Services, U.S. House of Representatives, Washington, D.C. Chairman Hensarling, Ranking Member Waters, and members of the Committee, I am pleased to … Continue reading

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Real Interest Rates Not So Real – BIS

The Bank of International Settlements (BIS) is out with a very interesting piece, Why so low for so long? A long-term view of real interest rates?, by Claudio Borio, Piti Disyatat, Mikael Juselius and Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul. The basic premise is … Continue reading

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QOTD: Sheep Logic

Active central bank Narrative construction in the service of their policy goals is a permanent change in our market dynamics.  – Ben Hunt, Epsilon Theory

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Fed Day With Extremely Loose Financial Conditions

Today is the day,  folks. The consensus is the Fed announces the start of quantitative tightening (QT).   History in the making. Draining Liquidity Though monetary tightening officially began in December 2015,  this will be the first time the Fed drains … Continue reading

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Super Mario’s Problem In One Picture

File under “Kafkaesque Markets.” Source:  MacroTourist

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The Gold-Bond Correlation And Other Macro Observations

We have posted several pieces over this year noting the high correlation of gold and 10-year bond futures. See here, here and here. Here is how the gold ETF (GLD) and the Treasury ETF (TLT) have moved together over various … Continue reading

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